J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 16, 2023 at 11am UK
NOEVIR Stadium Kobe
FT(HT: 0-0)
Togashi (51' pen.)
We said: Vissel Kobe 1-0 Sagan Tosu
Vissel Kobe have been fantastic so far this season, particularly defensively, having conceded the fewest goals of any team in the division.
As such, we expect the hosts to emerge as narrow winners, keeping the pressure on top-of-the-table Yokohama F Marinos.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 56.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 21.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-2 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vissel Kobe in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vissel Kobe.
| Result |
| Vissel Kobe | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
56.28% ( 0.52) | 22.29% ( -0.22) | 21.43% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 56.23% ( 0.32) |
| 57.21% ( 0.63) | 42.79% ( -0.63) |
| 34.8% ( 0.62) | 65.19% ( -0.62) |
| 84.96% ( 0.39) | 15.04% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.47% ( 0.73) | 43.52% ( -0.73) |
| 66.18% ( 0.08) | 33.81% ( -0.07) |
