SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Jong AZ |
43.81% ( 0.04) | 23.22% ( 0.02) | 32.96% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 63.41% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.06% ( -0.1) | 37.93% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.81% ( -0.1) | 60.19% ( 0.11) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.25% ( -0.03) | 17.75% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.56% ( -0.05) | 48.44% ( 0.05) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( -0.08) | 22.9% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.34% ( -0.11) | 56.66% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.16% 3-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 3.91% Total : 43.81% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.21% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 32.96% |
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