SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 54.74%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 24.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.34%) and 1-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Jong PSV |
54.74% ( -0.06) | 21.25% ( 0) | 24.01% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 63.52% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.21% ( 0.05) | 34.78% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.25% ( 0.06) | 56.75% ( -0.06) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.18% ( 0) | 12.82% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.85% | 39.15% ( 0) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.85% ( 0.07) | 27.14% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.46% ( 0.09) | 62.54% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.37% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.2% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.38% 5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 54.74% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.25% | 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.54% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.8% Total : 24.01% |
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