SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 54.67%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 23.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Norwich City |
54.67% ( 0.52) | 22.29% ( -0.26) | 23.04% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 58.49% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.15% ( 0.9) | 40.84% ( -0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.76% ( 0.91) | 63.23% ( -0.91) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.1% ( 0.48) | 14.9% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.74% ( 0.92) | 43.26% ( -0.92) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.73% ( 0.27) | 31.27% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.37% ( 0.31) | 67.62% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Norwich City |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.98% Total : 54.67% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 23.04% |
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