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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 37.71% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.06%) and 1-3 (4.94%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne City |
37.71% ( -0.43) | 21.97% ( -0.06) | 40.31% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 69.45% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.46% ( 0.28) | 30.53% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.17% ( 0.34) | 51.83% ( -0.34) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.8% ( -0.06) | 17.19% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.54% ( -0.1) | 47.46% ( 0.1) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.87% ( 0.32) | 16.12% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.44% ( 0.57) | 45.55% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 4.2% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.26% Total : 37.71% | 1-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.97% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.94% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.26% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.72% Total : 40.31% |
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