Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for Western United had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Western United	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
27.5% ( -0.04)	22.25% ( 0.15)	50.25% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 63.53% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.66% (

-0.77)

36.34% (

0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.53% (

-0.85)

58.46% (

0.84)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.54% (

-0.43)

25.46% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.71% (

-0.59)

60.29% (

0.59)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.23% (

-0.31)

14.77% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.97% (

-0.6)

43.02% (

0.6)

Score Analysis

Western United 27.5%

Central Coast Mariners 50.25%

Draw 22.25%

Western United	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.44% Total : 27.5%	1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.25%	1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 6% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.26% Total : 50.25%