Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
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