SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 57.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
57.08% ( 0.18) | 22.93% ( -0.01) | 19.99% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 51.91% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.53% ( -0.17) | 47.47% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.32% ( -0.16) | 69.68% ( 0.16) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.61% ( 0) | 16.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.97% ( 0) | 46.03% ( 0) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.09% ( -0.27) | 37.91% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.31% ( -0.26) | 74.69% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.69% 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 57.07% | 1-1 @ 10.9% 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.93% | 0-1 @ 6.03% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.55% Total : 19.99% |
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