SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
45.76% ( -1.48) | 25.06% ( 0.38) | 29.18% ( 1.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.98% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.86% ( -0.97) | 48.15% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.7% ( -0.89) | 70.3% ( 0.9) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% ( -1.03) | 21.07% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.12% ( -1.64) | 53.88% ( 1.64) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.66% ( 0.31) | 30.34% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.47% ( 0.37) | 66.53% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.57% Total : 45.76% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.11% Total : 29.18% |
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