SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 52.45%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Albirex Niigata |
52.45% ( 0.03) | 21.94% ( -0.02) | 25.61% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.83% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.53% ( 0.06) | 36.48% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.38% ( 0.07) | 58.62% ( -0.07) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.9% ( 0.03) | 14.1% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.28% ( 0.06) | 41.72% ( -0.06) |
| Albirex Niigata Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.14% ( 0.03) | 26.86% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.83% ( 0.04) | 62.17% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Albirex Niigata |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.75% 3-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 52.45% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 25.61% |
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