While both sides enter into this game in bad form, having suffered back-to-back defeats in their last two matches, the hosts have not lost in a meeting with Sagan Tosu since 2018.
The visitors have also picked up just one away victory so far this campaign, leading us to believe the hosts will secure the victory in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 56.8%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 22.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
0.23) 
-0.34) 
