SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 69.46%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 12.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
69.46% ( -0.02) | 18.05% ( 0.01) | 12.48% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.16% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.15% ( 0.01) | 39.85% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.79% ( 0.01) | 62.2% ( -0.01) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.63% | 10.36% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.14% ( -0) | 33.86% ( 0) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.08% ( 0.03) | 42.92% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.78% ( 0.03) | 79.22% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 2-0 @ 11.42% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.3% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.89% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.22% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0)Other @ 4.38% Total : 69.45% | 1-1 @ 8.53% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 18.05% | 0-1 @ 3.76% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.61% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.59% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 1.35% Total : 12.48% |
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