SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Nice had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Marseille |
28.55% ( -0.04) | 24.43% ( -0.24) | 47.02% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 56.64% ( 0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.23% ( 1.02) | 45.77% ( -1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.91% ( 0.96) | 68.09% ( -0.96) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.42% ( 0.5) | 29.58% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.39% ( 0.6) | 65.61% ( -0.6) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.43% ( 0.52) | 19.57% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.52% ( 0.85) | 51.48% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0)Other @ 3.29% Total : 28.55% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.04% Total : 47.02% |
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