Monaco have struggled for goals of late, scoring in only one of their last three games, and they were frustrated in last week's first leg. Another challenging affair could be on the cards for the hosts on Thursday.
Braga are expected to take a more cautious approach to the second leg and even if their French counterparts do breach their backline, they should have enough resilience in their side to hold on for victory on aggregate.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Braga had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
