Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 47.55%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
