Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grenoble win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grenoble win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
