Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 48.36%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 22.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.94%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ajaccio in this match.
