Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 50.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 20.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochaux would win this match.
