Chicago Fire and New York Red Bulls have struggled to grind out results in recent weeks and will head into the weekend in search of a morale-boosting as they head into the season run-in. We predict the Red Bulls will take the positives from their result against Sporting Kansas City and secure their first away win since mid May.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 36.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chicago Fire in this match.
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