SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 53.86%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.15% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
53.86% ( -0.85) | 21.99% ( 0.56) | 24.15% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 60.96% ( -1.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.79% ( -2.37) | 38.21% ( 2.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.52% ( -2.57) | 60.49% ( 2.57) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.75% ( -1.07) | 14.25% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.99% ( -2.12) | 42.01% ( 2.13) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.09% ( -1.07) | 28.91% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.22% ( -1.35) | 64.79% ( 1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.59)2-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.2)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.41% Total : 53.86% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.45)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.42)0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.33% Total : 24.15% |
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