SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.91%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
52.91% ( -0.47) | 22.25% ( 0.23) | 24.84% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 60.85% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.28% ( -0.85) | 38.71% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.98% ( -0.9) | 61.02% ( 0.9) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.27% ( -0.45) | 14.73% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.05% ( -0.87) | 42.94% ( 0.87) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.36% ( -0.27) | 28.64% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.55% ( -0.34) | 64.45% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.23% Total : 52.91% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.42% Total : 24.84% |
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