SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.23%) and 1-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Atlanta United |
50.21% ( -0.13) | 21.58% ( 0.04) | 28.2% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 66.65% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.5% ( -0.12) | 32.5% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.85% ( -0.14) | 54.15% ( 0.15) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.59% ( -0.08) | 13.41% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.64% ( -0.17) | 40.35% ( 0.17) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.97% ( -0) | 23.03% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.16% ( -0.01) | 56.84% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 50.21% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.72% 0-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.58% | 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 28.2% |
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