SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | New York City FC |
39.16% ( 0.06) | 26.5% ( -0.02) | 34.34% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.36% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.54% ( 0.06) | 52.46% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.86% ( 0.05) | 74.13% ( -0.05) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.79% ( 0.06) | 26.21% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.69% ( 0.08) | 61.3% ( -0.08) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.95% ( 0) | 29.04% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.05% ( 0) | 64.95% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 39.16% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.34% |
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