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Major League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
FD

Houston
1 - 2
Dallas

Bassi (18')
Kowalczyk (32')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Musa (55'), Julio (76')
Kamungo (25'), Ibeagha (65'), Ramiro (67'), Urhoghide (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 2-1 Dallas

Looking at recent meetings between Houston Dynamo and Dallas, we anticipate another thrilling contest at the Shell Energy Stadium with plenty of goalmouth action. The spoils were shared when they faced off in pre-season two weeks back, but we are backing Olsen's men to come away with all three points in front of their home supporters, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 57.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 20.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawDallas
57.42% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 21.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 20.69% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 56.49% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.07% (0.036000000000001 0.04)41.92% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.67% (0.036000000000001 0.04)64.33% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.62%14.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.74% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)42.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.97% (0.061000000000007 0.06)34.03% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.29% (0.065000000000001 0.07)70.71% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 57.42%
    Dallas 20.69%
    Draw 21.88%
Houston DynamoDrawDallas
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 9.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.21%
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 57.42%
1-1 @ 10.22%
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.88%
1-2 @ 5.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.27%
0-2 @ 2.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.98% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 20.69%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Houston 1-1 Seattle (6-7 pen.)
Sunday, November 3 at 11.30pm in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Seattle 0-0 Houston (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 29 at 12.50am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Houston 2-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 3-0 Houston
Sunday, October 6 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-1 New England
Thursday, October 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-0 Houston
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 0-0 Dallas
Monday, October 7 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 3-2 Dallas
Thursday, October 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 3-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 22 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 3-2 Dallas
Thursday, September 19 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer


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