SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dallas in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Dallas.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
51.12% ( -0.59) | 22.63% ( 0.13) | 26.25% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 60.98% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.81% ( -0.22) | 39.18% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.48% ( -0.23) | 61.51% ( 0.23) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.49% ( -0.28) | 15.5% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.59% ( -0.53) | 44.4% ( 0.53) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.17% ( 0.22) | 27.82% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.57% ( 0.28) | 63.42% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.81% Total : 51.12% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.7% Total : 26.25% |
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