SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Toronto |
46.8% ( -1.96) | 24.36% ( 0.28) | 28.84% ( 1.68) |
| Both teams to score 57.08% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.71% ( -0.12) | 45.29% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.37% ( -0.12) | 67.63% ( 0.11) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.53% ( -0.84) | 19.46% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.68% ( -1.4) | 51.32% ( 1.4) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( 1.16) | 29.12% ( -1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.95% ( 1.41) | 65.05% ( -1.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.38)3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.32)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.09% Total : 46.8% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.3) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.42% Total : 28.84% |
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