Philadelphia's experience and desperation to secure a playoff spot could see them push hard for a result.
However, New York's unbeaten record at Red Bull Arena and their solid defensive setup might be just enough to secure a narrow victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 16.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
0.13) 
-0.06) 
