SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Banbury United had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Banbury United win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Banbury United | Draw | Chorley |
33.16% ( 6.34) | 26.79% ( 0.86) | 40.05% ( -7.2) |
| Both teams to score 51.18% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.14% ( -0.77) | 53.85% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.68% ( -0.65) | 75.31% ( 0.65) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.5% ( 4.24) | 30.49% ( -4.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.29% ( 4.76) | 66.71% ( -4.76) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.63% ( -3.91) | 26.37% ( 3.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.48% ( -5.52) | 61.52% ( 5.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banbury United | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( 1.3) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 1.05)2-0 @ 5.67% ( 1.31)3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.7)3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.71)3-2 @ 2% ( 0.28)Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.16% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.94) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.72)0-2 @ 7.14% ( -1.56)1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.81)0-3 @ 3.17% ( -1.16)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.45)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.56)Other @ 2.21% Total : 40.04% |
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