Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 17.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
