Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
