Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%).
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