Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 74.37%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 9.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.85%) and 3-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
