Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 0-1 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brackley Town in this match.
