Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 37.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Boston United win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Gateshead in this match.
