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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
35.94% ( -0.02) | 26.97% ( 0.02) | 37.09% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.01% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.76% ( -0.1) | 54.24% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.36% ( -0.09) | 75.64% ( 0.08) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.08% ( -0.06) | 28.92% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.2% ( -0.08) | 64.8% ( 0.07) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% ( -0.06) | 28.22% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.07% ( -0.07) | 63.93% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.93% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 37.09% |
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