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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Welling United win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Welling United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
40.21% ( 1.61) | 28.5% ( -0.27) | 31.28% ( -1.33) |
| Both teams to score 45.6% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.37% ( 0.67) | 60.62% ( -0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.29% ( 0.5) | 80.71% ( -0.5) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.49% ( 1.28) | 29.5% ( -1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.48% ( 1.53) | 65.52% ( -1.54) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.69% ( -0.61) | 35.31% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.93% ( -0.64) | 72.07% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Welling United | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.35)3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.53% Total : 40.2% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.49% | 0-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.46) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 31.28% |
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