Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
