Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 15.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
