Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Warrenpoint Town win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
