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Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 6, 2022 at 2pm UK
Villa Park
MU

Aston Villa
3 - 1
Man Utd

Bailey (7'), Digne (11'), Ramsey (49')
Bailey (42'), Mings (61'), Martinez (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ramsey (45' og.)
Shaw (10'), Ronaldo (61'), Dalot (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 4-0 Aston Villa
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawManchester United
28.94% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 24.72% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 46.34% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 55.95% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.19% (-0.11 -0.11)46.81% (0.109 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.93% (-0.104 -0.1)69.07% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17% (0.0040000000000049 0)29.83% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)65.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.73% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)20.27% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.38% (-0.155 -0.16)52.62% (0.15499999999999 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 28.94%
    Manchester United 46.34%
    Draw 24.72%
Aston VillaDrawManchester United
1-0 @ 7.31% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.06% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.42% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.85% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.78% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 28.94%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 9.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.96% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 46.34%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Newcastle 4-0 Aston Villa
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 4-0 Brentford
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 3-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-2 Chelsea
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Aston Villa
Monday, October 10 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, October 2 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-1 Man Utd
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 West Ham
Sunday, October 30 at 4.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 3-0 Sheriff Tiraspol
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-1 Man Utd
Saturday, October 22 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 Spurs
Wednesday, October 19 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 0-0 Newcastle
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Premier League


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