SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Manchester United |
28.94% ( 0.09) | 24.72% ( 0.04) | 46.34% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.95% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.19% ( -0.11) | 46.81% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.93% ( -0.1) | 69.07% ( 0.1) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.17% ( 0) | 29.83% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.09% ( 0.01) | 65.91% ( -0.01) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.73% ( -0.1) | 20.27% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.38% ( -0.16) | 52.62% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Manchester United |
| 1-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.24% Total : 28.94% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 46.34% |
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