A side more clinical than Aston Villa or Brentford would have broken Chelsea's streak of clean sheets by now, and Man United will feel confident of doing that here, despite taking a multitude of efforts to finally get the better of Lloris on Wednesday.
The Etihad aside, performances in big games have been Ten Hag's bread and butter so far, but with Potter making a few key alterations and Wednesday's exertions taking their toll on Man United in particular, we can envisage a third successive 1-1 draw in this fixture.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 23.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 0-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
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