Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 23.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 0-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Chelsea | Draw | Manchester United |
53.52% (![]() | 23.21% | 23.28% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.67% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.28% (![]() | 44.72% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.91% (![]() | 67.09% (![]() |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.34% | 16.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.48% (![]() | 46.52% (![]() |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.8% (![]() | 33.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.19% (![]() | 69.81% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chelsea | Draw | Manchester United |
1-0 @ 9.92% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 8.88% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.85% 3-0 @ 5.31% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.23% 4-1 @ 2.62% 4-0 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.45% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.16% Total : 53.52% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 0-0 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.21% | 0-1 @ 6.1% 1-2 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.36% Total : 23.28% |
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