SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Everton had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Everton win it was 2-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Liverpool |
16.94% ( -1.79) | 20.15% ( -1.65) | 62.91% ( 3.43) |
| Both teams to score 55.47% ( 2.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.05% ( 4.45) | 39.94% ( -4.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.69% ( 4.45) | 62.3% ( -4.46) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.12% ( 0.61) | 36.88% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.33% ( 0.61) | 73.66% ( -0.61) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.88% ( 2.43) | 12.12% ( -2.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.3% ( 4.89) | 37.69% ( -4.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.37) 1-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.89)2-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.4)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.35% Total : 16.94% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.9) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.98)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.15% | 0-2 @ 9.95% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 9.43% ( -1.08)0-3 @ 7% ( 0.49)1-3 @ 6.98% ( 0.59)0-4 @ 3.69% ( 0.56)1-4 @ 3.69% ( 0.61)2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.35)2-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.33)0-5 @ 1.56% ( 0.35)1-5 @ 1.56% ( 0.37)Other @ 3.79% Total : 62.91% |
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