Chelsea are certainly in a sticky patch both on and off the pitch right now, but their plentiful options for change, penchant for away-day victories and desperate need to respond ahead of the second leg with Real should all work in their favour here.
Keeping the back door shut has been an issue for Southampton recently, and with a key attacking threat in Broja ineligible to face his parent club, we have faith in a freshened-up Blues side to lay down a marker with a convincing return to winning ways.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 17.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
