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Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
San Siro
SL

AC Milan
1 - 0
Spurs

Diaz (7')
Tonali (80'), Hernandez (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Romero (48'), Dier (63')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawTottenham Hotspur
38.38% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 25.63% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 35.99% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.48% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.43% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)48.56% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.31% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)70.69% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)24.84% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.55% (-0.116 -0.12)59.44% (0.11 0.11)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.82% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)26.18% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.73% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)61.26% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 38.38%
    Tottenham Hotspur 35.99%
    Draw 25.62%
AC MilanDrawTottenham Hotspur
1-0 @ 9.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.31% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 38.38%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.5% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.72% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.84% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 35.99%

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Form Guide
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Torino
Friday, February 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 AC Milan
Sunday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 2-5 Sassuolo
Sunday, January 29 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 4-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, January 18 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
Last Game: Lecce 2-2 AC Milan
Saturday, January 14 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Spurs
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-0 Man City
Sunday, February 5 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Preston 0-3 Spurs
Saturday, January 28 at 6pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Fulham 0-1 Spurs
Monday, January 23 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 4-2 Spurs
Thursday, January 19 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 0-2 Arsenal
Sunday, January 15 at 4.30pm in Premier League


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