Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 54.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for FC Ufa had a probability of 20.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a FC Ufa win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
