SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | FC Krasnodar | 29 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 29 | 9 | 47 |
| 6 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 29 | 3 | 45 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Spartak Moscow | 29 | -3 | 38 |
| 11 | Ural Yekaterinburg | 29 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 | Nizhny Novgorod | 29 | -14 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 61.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 16.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
| 61.58% | 22.25% | 16.17% |
| Both teams to score 47.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.64% | 50.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.7% | 72.29% |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.13% | 15.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.93% | 45.07% |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.9% | 44.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.79% | 80.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
| 1-0 @ 12.88% 2-0 @ 11.85% 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 5.96% 4-0 @ 3.35% 4-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.44% 5-0 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 1.12% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2% Total : 61.57% | 1-1 @ 10.54% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.73% Total : 22.24% | 0-1 @ 5.73% 1-2 @ 4.32% 0-2 @ 2.35% 1-3 @ 1.18% 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.52% Total : 16.17% |
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