Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 49.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 23.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
