Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 60.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
