Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
