Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.
